Keith Devens .com

The Belmont Club : Is the Iraqi Insurgency Dying?

The Belmont Club : Is the Iraqi Insurgency Dying?:

Reviewing the posts from about the month before the Iraqi elections to the present suggests a qualitative change is taking place... Two more months will reveal whether a trend against the insurgents has actually been established. In that event, its political effect once that perception filters down to the mainstream media readers will be interesting to watch. There will probably be some damnation through faint praise, but in general it will be met by a change of subject.

It was funny, there are anti-war posts up around my school, and they were quoting from some NY Times article. I read it and it seemed overly pessimistic and pretty out of touch with reality (even for the NY Times). Almost surprisingly, the poster cited the date of the Times piece, and I laughed when I noticed it was from January 17th, shortly before the Iraqi election.

Update: Just noticed Matt has a followup post.

Also relevant: Financial Times: Iraq's insurgents ‘seek exit strategy' .