USATODAY.com - Poll: No boost for Kerry after convention
In the survey, taken Friday and Saturday, the Democratic ticket of Kerry and John Edwards trailed the Republican ticket of Bush and Dick Cheney 50% to 46% among likely voters, with independent candidate Ralph Nader at 2%.
Before the convention, the two were essentially tied, with Kerry at 47%, Bush at 46%.
The change in support was within the poll's margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points in the sample of 763 likely voters. But it was nonetheless a stunning result, the first time in the Gallup Poll since the 1972 Democratic convention that a candidate seemed to lose ground at his convention.
(emph mine) My reaction after the convention was that I had a renewed confidence that Bush was going to win the election. It's astounding, they actually managed to pick a candidate who's a worse public speaker than Bush.
More here, via Donald Sensing. For the record, I don't put much faith in Newsweek polls.
Update: And, of course, who was the Democratic nominee in 1972? George McGovern, who went on to lose to Nixon in the biggest landslide in American history at the time.
There's a bit in this article that's just totally wrong:
The Reagans’ split with Bush and the party centers around stem cell research which many believe can help find a cure for Alzheimer’s, the disease that crippled President Reagan in his final years. Bush and the ultra-conservative wing of the Republican Party oppose use of new stem cells. The Reagans, with the exception of Michael, support such use.
As far as I know, the Bush administration merely doesn't want federal funds to be used for stem-cell research based on harvesting embryos. Personally, I'm very in support of stem-cell research, but I support the Bush administration ban on giving federal funding to research that destroys embryos. Importantly, this isn't a ban altogether, even for research that does destroy embryos, but only prevents federal funding for being given for those studies.
This is what frustrates me the most: stem cells can also be harvested from the umbilical cord and placenta, safely, after a birth. I wish the Republicans would take a more sensible stand on this and advocate some kind of national stem cell registry based on stem cells harvested from the umbilical cord and placenta. It could be as simple as having a checkbox on whatever medical release forms you have to fill out when you give birth that says "Check here if you don't want your umbilical cord and placenta to be given for stem cell research". Most are just thrown out anyway. Then, research companies can help pay to maintain this registry, and we don't have to destroy embryos to do it.
Sunday, August 1, 2004
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new⇒Quantum physics and free will
I knew you were going to say that....
Tom Massey: Mar 15, 9:26pm